Tuesday, October 7th, 2025

Current ACAP Momentum/Trend Model Signal: POSITIVE (Day Count = 19)
The SPX index gained 36bps during yesterday’s session, marking a new all-time closing high of 6740. To note, on a closing basis the current ACAP signal has returned 3.19%. Momentum and trend indicators improved. My Spot VIX signal remains “neutral”. My VIX Term Structure signal remains “risk on”. The ACAP Momentum/Trend Model signal remains Positive. As I have continued to write, “Risk remains skewed to the upside.” I fully expect the current move to test the next highlighted resistance level at 6802 in the near term.
Trade Support:
6600: Previous Resistance
6400: Previous All-Time High (July 28)
6200: July 7 Low
6147: Previous All-Time High (Feb 19)
Trade Resistance:
6802: Fibonacci Projection (123.6%)
7035: Fibonacci Projection (138.2%)